Al-Ahli SFC vs Al-Hilal SFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
10º
5º
46
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
46 | 74 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 73 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 66 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 63 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 60 |
5º
|
35.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 49 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 47 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 44 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 36 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 32 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 29 |
18º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
21.5% | 93.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahli SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
WAS
0 - 2
ALA
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ALQ
1 - 0
ALA
36%
25%
38%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALJ
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
4 - 2
DHA
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 0
PER
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
ALH
5 - 0
ALS
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KHO
2 - 4
ALH
25%
26%
50%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 1
ALH
11%
17%
71%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALH
3 - 1
ALI
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
RAY
1 - 3
ALH
27%
22%
51%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |