AFC Champions League Elite Last 16
Global 3-4
Al-Ahli SFC vs Al-Hilal SFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahli SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
ALA
3 - 2
EIN
83%
12%
5%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
ALA
0 - 1
HEL
90%
9%
2%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2019 |
ALA
2 - 1
PAK
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2019 |
ALA
5 - 0
ALI
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
ALF
1 - 4
ALA
24%
23%
52%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
UDI
2 - 3
ALH
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2019 |
ADS
2 - 2
ALH
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2019 |
ALH
3 - 2
ALS
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
ALI
0 - 1
ALH
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2019 |
ALH
2 - 0
AIN
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |