AFC Champions League Elite Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Al Ahli Dubai vs Naft Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahli Dubai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
SHA
1 - 1
AHD
24%
23%
54%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
AHD
2 - 0
EMI
68%
19%
14%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
NAT
0 - 1
AHD
39%
26%
36%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
AHD
8 - 1
FUJ
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2015 |
AIN
3 - 3
AHD
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Naft Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
NAT
0 - 1
AHD
39%
26%
36%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
NAT
3 - 3
MAL
44%
29%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
SIA
1 - 0
NAT
21%
27%
53%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
NAT
1 - 1
SAB
45%
29%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 0
NAT
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |