AFC Champions League Elite Final
Global 0-1
Al Ahli Dubai vs Guangzhou FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahli Dubai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
AHD
2 - 1
DIB
70%
19%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
WAH
1 - 3
AHD
32%
26%
41%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
AHD
3 - 2
ALH
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
AHD
3 - 1
SHA
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
AHD
2 - 0
ALN
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BEI
0 - 2
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 2
SHA
61%
21%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
GAM
0 - 0
GUA
10%
16%
74%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
TIT
0 - 2
GUA
22%
24%
54%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
GAM
85%
11%
5%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |