Al-Ahli SC vs Al-Gharafa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
46.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
8º
8º
32
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahli SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
RAY
1 - 2
AHL
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
SAA
3 - 2
AHL
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
AHL
1 - 1
ADS
25%
24%
52%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
UMM
0 - 1
AHL
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
AHL
1 - 2
GYI
42%
23%
35%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
SAA
1 - 2
GHA
55%
21%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
ALS
2 - 1
GHA
41%
24%
36%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
GHA
1 - 1
WAK
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
GHA
2 - 1
SAI
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
AHA
4 - 2
GHA
16%
18%
65%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |