Al-Ahli SC vs Al-Duhail analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
7º
4º
35
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 46 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 42 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 42 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 38 |
4º
|
53.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 32 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 28 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 27 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 27 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 24 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 22 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 15 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
1% | 64.5% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
4.5% | 27% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
20% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
74.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahli SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
ALS
1 - 1
AHL
44%
23%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
QAT
0 - 1
AHL
39%
22%
39%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ALS
2 - 4
AHL
39%
26%
36%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AHL
3 - 3
ARA
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
QAT
0 - 1
AHL
50%
23%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Duhail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 0
ADS
41%
23%
36%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
ADS
1 - 0
RAY
48%
22%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ALS
2 - 1
ADS
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ADS
5 - 1
SAA
45%
23%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
WAK
0 - 2
ADS
45%
24%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |