Al Ahed vs Tripoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ALG
1 - 4
ALA
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
SAF
3 - 3
ALA
46%
23%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
TRI
0 - 2
ALA
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
ALA
3 - 0
RAC
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
ALA
7 - 1
TAD
58%
23%
20%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 3
TRI
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ALG
1 - 3
TRI
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
TRI
0 - 2
ALA
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
SAF
2 - 0
TRI
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 2
SHA
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |