Al Ahed vs Salam Zgharta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 0
SAF
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
ALJ
1 - 4
ALA
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALJ
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 1
ALA
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 0
ALA
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Salam Zgharta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NSA
2 - 5
SAL
5%
14%
81%
|
52 | 17 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
SAL
0 - 0
ALA
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SSO
1 - 1
SAL
6%
14%
80%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 0
AFJ
88%
9%
3%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SAL
3 - 1
CHK
88%
9%
3%
|
53 | 15 | 38 | 0 |