Al Ahed vs Salam Zgharta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
ALT
2 - 0
ALA
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
ALG
0 - 0
ALA
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ALA
3 - 1
SHA
57%
23%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ALN
0 - 2
ALA
43%
23%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALN
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Salam Zgharta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
NAB
2 - 0
SAL
41%
24%
36%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 1
AAM
53%
22%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 4
SHA
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 4
TAD
26%
25%
50%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ALA
3 - 0
SAL
54%
24%
23%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |