Al Ahed vs Safa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ALA
2 - 2
ALA
59%
21%
20%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ALA
3 - 1
SAL
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +11 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ALA
0 - 2
ALA
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
ALA
1 - 0
SAL
48%
24%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALN
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2017 |
SAF
0 - 2
27%
24%
49%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SAF
4 - 1
ALN
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +8 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
3 - 1
SAF
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2017 |
ALW
2 - 0
SAF
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
SAF
1 - 2
ALN
45%
25%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |