Al Ahed vs Safa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
ALA
76%
15%
8%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
SHA
0 - 2
ALA
44%
25%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALA
2 - 2
ALA
55%
24%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
ALA
5 - 3
VBA
81%
13%
7%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
ALA
2 - 1
ALA
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
SAF
0 - 2
SHO
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAF
2 - 1
ALA
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +3 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 2
SAF
23%
23%
55%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | -3 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAF
0 - 0
RAC
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +3 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 2
SAF
38%
26%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -2 |