Al Ahed vs Racing Beirut analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SAF
2 - 0
ALA
40%
25%
36%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
ALA
3 - 1
SAF
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
MUA
4 - 0
ALA
61%
20%
20%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
SAF
0 - 3
ALA
41%
23%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
ALA
2 - 0
ALO
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Beirut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 1
TRI
45%
27%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
ALN
1 - 0
RAC
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
RAC
3 - 4
ALA
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ALA
0 - 0
RAC
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ALM
2 - 1
RAC
47%
27%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |