AFC Cup 1/16
Global 3-5
Al Ahed vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2018 |
ALQ
3 - 1
ALA
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 0
ALN
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
ALA
3 - 1
MAN
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ALN
1 - 3
ALA
43%
27%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
ALZ
1 - 1
ALA
65%
20%
16%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -16 |
Matches
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2018 |
ALQ
3 - 1
ALA
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
BAG
0 - 1
ALQ
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ALQ
2 - 0
ALS
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
ALQ
2 - 0
ALS
85%
11%
4%
|
72 | 41 | 31 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ALT
0 - 4
ALQ
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |