Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 2
ALQ
20%
22%
58%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
ALQ
3 - 1
ALA
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 0
ALN
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
ALA
3 - 1
MAN
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ALN
1 - 3
ALA
43%
27%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Al Nejmeh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 0
ALN
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
ALN
1 - 0
CLU
17%
23%
61%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 2
ALN
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2018 |
ALN
4 - 0
CON
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 0
ALN
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |