Al Ahed vs Al-Nahda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
10.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HIK
1 - 2
ALA
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
NAB
0 - 4
ALA
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALN
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ALA
5 - 1
RAC
63%
23%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 0
ALN
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -3 |
Matches
Al-Nahda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
ALN
3 - 1
IBR
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ALN
2 - 0
AWO
89%
9%
3%
|
40 | 6 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
ALS
1 - 1
ALN
49%
26%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
ALN
0 - 0
TRI
11%
21%
69%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
SUR
0 - 0
ALN
36%
28%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |