Al Ahed vs Sagesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 4
ALA
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RAC
0 - 2
ALA
17%
23%
60%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -15 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
2 - 5
ALA
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
ALA
3 - 2
ALW
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +13 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
2 - 3
ALA
48%
24%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sagesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
HIK
1 - 0
SHA
41%
27%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
HIK
1 - 3
ALN
12%
21%
67%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | +13 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
HIK
0 - 1
ALN
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -13 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
HIK
0 - 2
ALA
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAF
3 - 0
HIK
47%
25%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |