FC Aktobe vs Shakhter Karagandy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
4º
4º
9
10º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
36 | 43 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 42 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 41 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 41 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 41 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 37 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 34 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 29 |
8º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 26 |
10º
|
30% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 25 |
11º
|
39% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 19 |
12º
|
78% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 13 |
13º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
33% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
FKY
2 - 1
FCA
30%
24%
47%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
FKY
2 - 2
FCA
30%
28%
43%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 1
FCA
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
FKY
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 0
ORD
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 3
ATY
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
KAI
4 - 2
SHA
50%
24%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 0
TOB
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FKY
2 - 1
SHA
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
KAI
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |