Qualif. Champions Primera ronda Final
Global 1-2
FC Aktobe vs Liepājas Metalurgs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2006 |
LIE
1 - 0
FCA
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 0
EKI
65%
21%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
VOS
1 - 2
FCA
28%
29%
43%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2006 |
FCA
2 - 0
TOB
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
SHA
1 - 0
FCA
48%
27%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Liepājas Metalurgs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2006 |
LIE
1 - 0
FCA
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2006 |
FCS
2 - 1
LIE
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2006 |
LIE
7 - 1
FKD
84%
11%
5%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2006 |
DIN
1 - 2
LIE
21%
23%
56%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2006 |
FKR
0 - 4
LIE
16%
22%
62%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |