FC Aktobe vs FC Kyzylzhar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
4º
2º
19
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
33 | 44 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 42 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 42 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 41 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 39 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 34 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 33 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 30 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 27 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 26 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 20 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
93.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
42% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
45.5% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 3
FCA
53%
23%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 1
SAR
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 1
SPA
41%
25%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
FCA
3 - 4
TOB
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
SHA
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Kyzylzhar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
KYZ
2 - 0
SHA
37%
28%
36%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
KYZ
0 - 1
AST
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
KYZ
1 - 1
FKY
47%
29%
25%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ZHE
0 - 0
KYZ
42%
29%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
KYZ
0 - 2
FCA
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |