FC Aktobe vs Kaysar Kyzylorda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
5º
5º
25
6º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
35 | 43 |
1º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 43 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 41 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 41 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 39 |
5º
|
35.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 35 |
6º
|
35.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 34 |
7º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 29 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 29 |
9º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 26 |
10º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 25 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 20 |
12º
|
72% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
90.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
27.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
69% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ATY
1 - 1
FCA
34%
27%
38%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FKZ
1 - 2
FCA
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
KYZ
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 3
FCA
53%
23%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 1
SAR
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kaysar Kyzylorda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ATY
2 - 2
KAI
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
KAI
2 - 1
FKY
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ORD
2 - 1
KAI
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ZHE
1 - 2
KAI
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 1
FKT
34%
28%
39%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |