FC Aktobe vs Kairat Almaty analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
30.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
4º
2º
35
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
33 | 44 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 42 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 42 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 41 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 39 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 34 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 33 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 30 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 27 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 26 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 20 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
93.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
12.5% | 27.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
42% | 42.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
45.5% | 30% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TOB
3 - 0
FCA
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FCA
3 - 0
ZHE
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 3
FKY
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ORD
1 - 1
FCA
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 1
KAI
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Kairat Almaty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 0
KAI
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
KAI
3 - 4
ZEN
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KAI
0 - 1
AST
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
2 - 2
TOB
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KYZ
0 - 1
KAI
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |