Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 2-4
FC Aktobe vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
GNK
2 - 1
FCA
61%
21%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
FCA
3 - 0
MIL
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
MIL
4 - 2
FCA
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
ORD
1 - 1
FCA
36%
27%
36%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 0
FTK
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
LEU
2 - 2
GNK
19%
21%
60%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
GNK
2 - 1
FCA
61%
21%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
GNK
3 - 3
CER
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
GEN
3 - 1
GNK
46%
23%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
GNK
1 - 2
BRU
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |