Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda Final
Global 4-2
FC Aktobe vs Gandzasar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 2
TAR
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
GAN
1 - 2
FCA
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
ATY
0 - 2
FCA
18%
26%
56%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 1
AST
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 1
ORD
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gandzasar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
GAN
1 - 2
FCA
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
GAN
1 - 0
MIK
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SHI
2 - 2
GAN
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
IMP
1 - 2
GAN
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
GAN
1 - 1
PYU
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |