Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda Final
Global 3-1
FC Aktobe vs FC Rustavi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
KAI
0 - 2
FCA
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2010 |
FCA
1 - 2
AST
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2010 |
ORD
0 - 2
FCA
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
FCA
4 - 1
AKZ
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2010 |
TOB
2 - 1
FCA
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Rustavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2010 |
TSK
4 - 1
MET
21%
27%
52%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
MET
3 - 1
ZES
46%
28%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
WIT
2 - 0
MET
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
MET
1 - 1
DTB
45%
28%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
SIO
1 - 2
MET
25%
28%
48%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |