FC Aktobe vs Atyrau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
4º
4º
26
4º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
36 | 43 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 42 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 41 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 41 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 41 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 37 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 34 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 29 |
8º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 26 |
10º
|
30% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 25 |
11º
|
39% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 19 |
12º
|
78% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 13 |
13º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
2.5% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
33% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
3 - 0
FKZ
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
FCR
1 - 1
FCA
41%
25%
35%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 3
FCA
31%
28%
42%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 4
TOB
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
YAR
1 - 2
FCA
13%
20%
67%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Atyrau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ATY
0 - 1
ZHE
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
ATY
1 - 1
ORD
26%
28%
47%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FKY
0 - 0
ATY
37%
28%
36%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
NEF
1 - 1
ATY
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
HBK
3 - 1
ATY
19%
22%
59%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |