Aktobe II vs Arys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
62.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aktobe II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SDF
4 - 0
FKA
76%
14%
11%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
KAS
6 - 1
FKA
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 68 | 43 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 2
OKZ
19%
24%
57%
|
25 | 75 | 50 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
FKY
2 - 1
FKA
74%
15%
10%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 2
FKK
23%
24%
53%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | -2 |
Matches
Arys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
ARY
3 - 2
SDF
61%
20%
19%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ARY
1 - 2
EKI
30%
24%
47%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
FKK
3 - 2
ARY
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ARY
2 - 1
KKY
61%
20%
19%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
TAR
3 - 0
ARY
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |