Aktobe II vs Ekibastuzets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
78.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
14º
13º
31
7º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aktobe II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FKY
3 - 1
FKA
84%
12%
5%
|
14 | 52 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 2
FKY
7%
15%
78%
|
14 | 52 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FKT
7 - 1
FKA
74%
18%
8%
|
14 | 73 | 59 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 0
TAR
12%
20%
68%
|
12 | 66 | 54 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
FJQ
1 - 0
FKA
86%
9%
5%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ekibastuzets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
EKI
2 - 2
FKY
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
FKT
6 - 1
EKI
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
EKI
5 - 3
TAR
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FJQ
1 - 1
EKI
9%
16%
76%
|
55 | 23 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
EKI
2 - 3
FKA
75%
15%
9%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | -1 |