Akron Tolyatti vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
15º
9º
16
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 60 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 58 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
46% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 31 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 25 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 23 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 22 |
16º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 36% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 36% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 28% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akron Tolyatti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
ZEN
5 - 1
AKT
78%
15%
8%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FCR
0 - 2
AKT
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AKT
2 - 5
KRA
20%
24%
57%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
AKT
2 - 0
FAK
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AKT
3 - 0
KHI
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 2
CSK
17%
21%
61%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
GAZ
1 - 2
OLY
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 3
LOK
9%
18%
74%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 2
TER
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FAK
0 - 0
OLY
44%
29%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |