Akragas vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akragas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
USF
2 - 1
AKR
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LEC
0 - 0
AKR
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AKR
1 - 1
MAR
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
4 - 0
AKR
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
AKR
3 - 2
CAT
24%
26%
49%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
LEC
16%
23%
61%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
JUS
2 - 1
MES
68%
20%
13%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
FCC
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 1
MES
80%
15%
5%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MES
1 - 0
ASM
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |