Akragas vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
51.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akragas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 0
AKR
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
AKR
2 - 3
MON
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
REN
2 - 0
AKR
60%
24%
16%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
AKR
1 - 1
MAT
22%
25%
54%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
FON
3 - 0
AKR
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
FIA
46%
28%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
CAT
1 - 2
CAS
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
FCC
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 0
CAS
57%
23%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
BIS
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |