Akragas vs ASD Castrumfavara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+1906%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
16º
18º
18º
28
6º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 80 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 74 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 68 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 65 |
4º
|
45% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 63 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 51 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 48 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 44 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 42 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 40 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 37 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 35 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 35 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 34 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 33 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 30 |
17º
|
29% | |
|
|
18º
|
14 | 26 |
18º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
74.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akragas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
POM
0 - 2
AKR
29%
22%
49%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
AKR
2 - 2
LOC
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
AKR
0 - 2
ASD
35%
25%
39%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
NIS
1 - 0
AKR
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
AKR
0 - 2
USV
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Castrumfavara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
FAR
1 - 3
REG
23%
28%
49%
|
30 | 77 | 47 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
FAR
1 - 0
ACI
26%
22%
52%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +3 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ENN
0 - 0
FAR
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CSA
0 - 0
FAR
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
RAG
1 - 1
FAR
71%
17%
13%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +1 |