Serie C Playoffs Descenso Final
Global 1-1
Akragas vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akragas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
ASM
0 - 0
AKR
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
AKR
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AKR
1 - 3
JUS
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
NUO
1 - 0
AKR
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
AKR
1 - 0
CAS
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
ASM
0 - 0
AKR
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ASM
0 - 3
MAT
21%
25%
54%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
USF
1 - 0
ASM
83%
13%
4%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ASM
1 - 0
TAR
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MES
3 - 4
ASM
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |