Akragas vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akragas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
LEC
0 - 1
AKR
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MES
1 - 1
AKR
38%
26%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
AKR
0 - 1
USF
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AKR
1 - 3
LEC
25%
26%
49%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 0
AKR
22%
24%
55%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ASM
3 - 3
CAT
12%
23%
65%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
NUO
1 - 0
ASM
59%
25%
16%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ASM
2 - 2
MAT
27%
27%
46%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ASM
1 - 2
PAG
56%
24%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
FIA
0 - 0
ASM
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |