Åkra vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
79.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VAL
4 - 1
VAR
20%
21%
59%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
HAU
0 - 0
VAR
71%
18%
12%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
FYL
1 - 1
VAR
24%
23%
54%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
6 - 3
ODD
84%
11%
5%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
EGE
0 - 0
VAR
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |