Akademiya Tolyatti vs Gornyak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akademiya Tolyatti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
AKT
2 - 0
NEF
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
NOS
1 - 4
AKT
16%
23%
62%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
AKT
1 - 0
VOL
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
SYZ
0 - 2
AKT
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
TYU
0 - 2
AKT
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Gornyak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
SYZ
0 - 0
GUC
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
GUC
1 - 2
RUB
76%
17%
8%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
DIN
2 - 1
GUC
13%
22%
65%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
GUC
1 - 3
UFA
39%
27%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
OKT
1 - 3
GUC
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |