Akademisk Boldklub vs Næstved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
1º
10º
5º
9
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
13 | 43 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 37 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 37 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 36 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
11 | 35 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 31 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 29 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 27 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 26 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 26 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 21 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 18 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
71.5% | 44% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
28.5% | 56% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akademisk Boldklub
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
BRØ
0 - 1
AKA
20%
21%
59%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
AKA
1 - 0
HOL
9%
15%
76%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AKA
3 - 0
FA2
67%
18%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
MID
0 - 1
AKA
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
AKA
5 - 3
AAF
21%
23%
57%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NAE
2 - 1
FCH
46%
23%
31%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
NAE
0 - 1
HIL
22%
22%
57%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
NAE
1 - 0
FCH
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
HBK
1 - 0
NAE
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
NAE
1 - 3
HIL
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |