Akademisk Boldklub vs AC Horsens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
55.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akademisk Boldklub
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
AKA
3 - 0
NAE
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
AKA
1 - 3
VEN
57%
23%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
DOL
0 - 3
AKA
12%
19%
70%
|
57 | 20 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VES
1 - 1
AKA
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
AKA
0 - 2
ESB
21%
25%
54%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SIF
1 - 1
ACH
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
ACH
4 - 3
OBK
26%
25%
49%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SON
1 - 3
ACH
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
HOL
0 - 5
ACH
16%
21%
63%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
ACH
0 - 3
AGF
43%
27%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |