Akademisk Boldklub vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
48.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
1º
10º
6º
16
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
16 | 46 |
1º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 40 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
1º
|
17 | 36 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 35 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 33 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 30 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 29 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 29 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 28 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 28 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 21 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 15 |
12º
|
64% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
51.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
48.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akademisk Boldklub
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
AKA
2 - 0
FCH
51%
23%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 4
AKA
11%
16%
74%
|
55 | 25 | 30 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
LFA
1 - 0
AKA
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AKA
1 - 1
NAE
47%
25%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
BRØ
0 - 1
AKA
20%
21%
59%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AAF
2 - 0
NAE
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MID
3 - 1
AAF
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
VAT
0 - 2
AAF
4%
9%
88%
|
64 | 24 | 40 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AAF
3 - 1
IIF
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
AAF
0 - 0
IFL
75%
15%
10%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |