Akademisk Boldklub vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
56.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
5º
4º
59
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
59 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
72 | 16 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 16 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akademisk Boldklub
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
ESB
6 - 0
AKA
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
AKA
3 - 3
ROS
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
AKA
1 - 1
LFA
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 0
AKA
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
AKA
1 - 1
MID
33%
26%
42%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
AAF
0 - 3
MID
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
LFA
1 - 4
AAF
17%
22%
62%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AAF
2 - 0
ESB
35%
25%
40%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 0
AKA
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ROS
6 - 2
AAF
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |