AP Brera vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
9º
6º
37
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 1
AKP
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
AKP
1 - 0
VOK
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
TIK
3 - 1
AKP
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
AKP
2 - 1
RAB
46%
27%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SIL
2 - 1
AKP
52%
26%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
VOK
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
RAB
2 - 0
VAR
46%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
FCS
21%
27%
52%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 0
VAR
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 1
SHK
22%
26%
52%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |