AP Brera vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
48.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 0
AKP
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
AKP
2 - 0
TIK
67%
21%
13%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
AKP
0 - 0
KGE
75%
18%
8%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
AKP
1 - 1
FKB
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
AKP
1 - 1
SIL
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 1
FKB
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
VAR
1 - 0
FCS
77%
17%
7%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
REN
2 - 0
VAR
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 0
RAB
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FKB
0 - 1
VAR
14%
25%
60%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |