AP Brera vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SHK
1 - 0
AKP
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
AKP
0 - 1
SHK
40%
29%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
MAK
1 - 3
AKP
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
MAK
1 - 2
AKP
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
AKP
1 - 0
FCS
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 1
REN
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SIL
6 - 0
VAR
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
PEL
2 - 0
VAR
30%
28%
43%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 6
SHK
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SHK
2 - 0
VAR
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |