AP Brera vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
48.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
RAB
1 - 1
AKP
52%
25%
24%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
AKP
1 - 1
PEL
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
PEL
2 - 1
AKP
31%
22%
47%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
POB
0 - 0
AKP
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
AKP
1 - 1
REN
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
PEL
0 - 0
VAR
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 0
REN
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
FKS
0 - 0
VAR
22%
27%
52%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
SHK
4 - 0
VAR
53%
22%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VAR
2 - 3
SIL
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |