AP Brera vs KF Shkëndija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
44.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
12º
9º
14
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
14 | 44 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 36 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 35 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 34 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 34 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 31 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 27 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 26 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 26 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 24 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 23 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 20 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 57% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
4% | 30.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 12% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
26% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
21% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SIL
4 - 0
AKP
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AKP
3 - 1
VAR
54%
24%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KGE
1 - 1
AKP
12%
19%
69%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AKP
1 - 1
MAK
52%
22%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
AKP
2 - 1
BEL
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SHK
1 - 1
RAB
63%
22%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BES
1 - 3
SHK
22%
26%
51%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SHK
5 - 1
SHK
84%
11%
5%
|
62 | 7 | 55 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SHK
1 - 1
FER
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
TIK
1 - 1
SHK
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |