AP Brera vs KF Shkëndija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
48.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
9º
6º
64
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 0
AKP
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
AKP
3 - 0
MAK
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SIL
0 - 1
AKP
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
ATY
2 - 1
AKP
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
RCH
2 - 1
AKP
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 0
VAR
64%
23%
14%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SHK
2 - 2
GOS
58%
24%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MAK
0 - 1
SHK
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
DYN
1 - 1
SHK
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 1
SHK
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |