AP Brera vs Sileks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
12º
7º
37
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
37 | 44 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 44 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
|
1º
|
37 | 44 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 39 |
5º
|
68.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 29 |
6º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 23 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 23 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 18 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 17 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 17 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 16 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 20% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 52.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 27.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
AKP
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GOS
4 - 1
AKP
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
AKP
2 - 0
BES
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
AKP
1 - 1
VOK
50%
24%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 1
AKP
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sileks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SIL
1 - 1
RAB
48%
28%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SIL
2 - 0
BES
56%
24%
19%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
SIL
0 - 0
SHK
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 4
SIL
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SIL
0 - 0
SHK
30%
27%
44%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |