AP Brera vs Shkupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
47.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
9º
6º
62
1º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
RAB
1 - 0
AKP
47%
27%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
AKP
1 - 1
BRE
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 0
AKP
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AKP
2 - 1
FCS
31%
29%
41%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 1
AKP
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 0
SHK
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
GOS
0 - 0
SHK
25%
27%
49%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 0
MAK
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 3
SHK
9%
17%
74%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SIL
2 - 1
SHK
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |