AP Brera vs FK Pobeda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
11º
10º
13
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FKS
1 - 1
AKP
22%
28%
50%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MAK
0 - 0
AKP
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
AKP
0 - 0
RAB
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 1
AKP
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AKP
1 - 1
SHK
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FK Pobeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
POB
0 - 1
RAB
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
6 - 2
POB
72%
20%
8%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
POB
0 - 6
SHK
12%
23%
65%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
2 - 0
POB
74%
19%
8%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
POB
1 - 5
SIL
16%
26%
58%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |