AP Brera vs FK Pobeda AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
11º
10º
13
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SHK
3 - 3
AKP
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MAK
0 - 1
AKP
52%
26%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
AKP
1 - 1
FKD
84%
11%
5%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
AKP
7 - 0
KGE
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
KYZ
2 - 0
AKP
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FK Pobeda AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
POB
1 - 4
SIL
19%
28%
54%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 0
POB
70%
20%
10%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
POB
0 - 2
RAB
29%
27%
44%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
POB
2 - 1
FKB
75%
16%
10%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
VOK
1 - 0
POB
56%
21%
24%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |