AP Brera vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
40.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
9º
6º
64
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 1
AKP
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VOK
1 - 1
AKP
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 0
AKP
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
AKP
0 - 0
GOS
53%
23%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 1
AKP
55%
25%
19%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 1
SHK
39%
27%
35%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
FCS
4 - 0
VAR
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GOS
2 - 1
FCS
27%
28%
45%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
VOK
0 - 0
FCS
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MAK
0 - 3
FCS
37%
29%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |